Global Policy Forum

Slouching Toward Seattle

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Washington Post
October 18, 1999

In the wake of the test ban treaty's defeat in the U.S. Senate, it seems slightly surreal that America is preparing to host a summit on world trade. Next month in Seattle, ministers from the World Trade Organization's 134 countries, amid a throng of nongovernmental organizations and business lobbyists, will gather in the hope of launching a round of tariff-cutting talks. It would be a vastly ambitious project in the best of circumstances; the last trade round took seven years. Now that America's treaty-making credibility has suffered, the launch of the new round looks positively heroic.


The challenge for the Clinton administration, as was the case for the test ban treaty, is to forge a position that is acceptable to foreign negotiating partners but also politically viable at home. Neither foreigners nor domestic opinion are making this easy. In Europe, the French want to protect their movie industry from Hollywood, and most of the European Union is addicted to protectionist farm subsidies. In developing countries, there is opposition to a broad trade round because the job of implementing the last one is not yet finished; but there is also opposition to a narrow trade round for fear that it would include only sectors from which rich countries would gain. Meanwhile in America, the cause of trade liberalization has yet to recover from the demise of ''fast track'' two years ago.

Not surprisingly, the Clinton administration fears its domestic critics more than its foreign ones. In a speech on Wednesday, President Bill Clinton insisted that agriculture should top the agenda, despite European objections. He declared that e-commerce should remain free of tariffs, a natural position given America's dominance in that sphere. He made no mention of reforms to anti-dumping regulations and investment rules, which other countries have been pushing for. He did, however, bow to two Democratic constituencies by demanding that the WTO create a working group on the environment and labor rights.

If it wants a successful trade round, this administration and its successor are going to have to give as well as take. That will require building a political alliance that supports the giving. The president is well aware of this; indeed, his speech cast the challenge of building a free trade consensus in his party as the last mountain left for centrist New Democrats to climb. In the hope of starting that process, he talked of expanding trade's circle of winners - of making tariff cuts more popular by sweetening them with programs to help workers whose jobs the cuts destroy.

But some of the president's rhetoric was puzzling. He talked of ''a new kind of trade round,'' of ''a round about broadly shared prosperity, about improving the quality of life and work around the world.'' That kind of language risks bolstering trade's enemies. It implies, entirely spuriously, that past trade deals have failed to improve living standards in America and abroad. It is true that the recent expansion of trade has been accompanied by growing inequality, both within and between countries. But that trend has less to do with trade than with technology, which displaces uneducated workers and increases the rewards for skilled ones.

If America is to return to a free trade consensus, it is going to need leaders who make the case for trade in more robust terms.


More Information on Social and Economic Policy
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More Information on the World Trade Organization conference in Seattle

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FAIR USE NOTICE: This page contains copyrighted material the use of which has not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. Global Policy Forum distributes this material without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes. We believe this constitutes a fair use of any such copyrighted material as provided for in 17 U.S.C § 107. If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond fair use, you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.